NOTE: Predictions were made for the Exec race but Mike Berardi has since dropped out of the race for Executive.
Hugh Reynolds : Comptroller race very close, edge Auerbach
Donaldson's waffling between executive and comptroller strikes some as opportunistic, indecisive. He's still the chairman, which for some Democrats is position enough.
Auerbach's hometown fiscal issues will play large if he's the ultimate nominee. Ellenville's fiscal house is in disarray. Republicans will play on that. He has better credentials, having actively managed a (small) unit of government and has extensive business background.. Plus, he's not from Kingston.Comptroller's a closer call. If Hein romps - better than 2-1 - Donaldson goes down.No love lost there anymore. On the other hand, Demos may want to split their vote. Strategy is important. If Hein vote is held first, edge to Auerbach. A Donaldson vote first would negate some anti-Hein sentiment.
I'd give Auerbach the nod here, but don't rule out a primary. Donaldson has all summer to either play golf or politics. He'll do both.
Blaber Agrees :
I agree with the political dean of the lower Hudson Valley, Auerbach will pull out the win this Monday, in a close but decisive vote. Auerbach seems to be winning over a lot of people and committees, even making inroads in the more Progressive committees--- where Dave was expected to do very well in. I never will count Donaldon out, I think it will be a close vote regardless but I think in the end Auerbach pulls out a big win at the convention.
NOTE : These are simply predictions and do not imply endorsements or favorites on the part of Hugh Reynolds or myself. For full disclosure I do happen to also be supporting Elliott Auerbach...Hugh Reynolds is not supporting any of the candidates.
Blaber Agrees :
I agree with the political dean of the lower Hudson Valley, Auerbach will pull out the win this Monday, in a close but decisive vote. Auerbach seems to be winning over a lot of people and committees, even making inroads in the more Progressive committees--- where Dave was expected to do very well in. I never will count Donaldon out, I think it will be a close vote regardless but I think in the end Auerbach pulls out a big win at the convention.
NOTE : These are simply predictions and do not imply endorsements or favorites on the part of Hugh Reynolds or myself. For full disclosure I do happen to also be supporting Elliott Auerbach...Hugh Reynolds is not supporting any of the candidates.