Sometimes it's hard to believe that Hugh Reynolds is paid by the Daily Freeman as their political editor, the guy is either stubborn or just completely out of touch with local politics. First, I really like Hugh Reynolds, I think he's bright and for the most part I enjoy reading his column. For some reason the guy hates Jonathan Sennett and refuses to give him his due.
Now the race is over and I have moved on, but yesterday in Reynolds' column he made a comment that was simply untrue, the piece was about Ben Shore calling for John Parete's resignation from the Democratic committee, and it went on to talk about the d.a.'s race, and how there should of been a primary. At this point I'll even concede that a primary would of probably been a good thing. However, Reynolds went on to say that Sennett didn't want a primary because the reality was that he had a slim to none chance of winning it. This is where I really question Reynolds' competence as a political insider.... the unfortunate reality is that the general election turned into the September primary and Bradley lost terribly.
In a Democratic primary the main people that come out and vote are from the towns of Woodstock, Saugerties, Rosendale, Marbletown and Kingston. Let's look at the numbers:
Woodstock Sennett: 1250 Bradley : 209
Saugerties Sennett : 1160 Bradley: 800
Rosendale Sennett: 652 Bradley : 286
Marbletown Sennett: 698 Bradley : 306
Kingston Sennett: 1710 Bradley : 2265
New Paltz Sennett : 1565 Bradley: 289
TOTAL : Sennett : 7035 Bradley : 4155
Cut both the totals in half because the primary would of been much lower than the general and you have Sennett with 3517 and Bradley at 2077. We'll add on about 300 to Bradley for people that supported Sennett because he was the party's nominee... the total in the key areas of a Democratic primary would be Sennett at 3117 and Bradley at about 2377...the other towns would be about even with Sennett having the edge as the nominee....bottom line Sennett wins in a landslide.
You can't go by this entirely, because we're leaving a lot of towns out and there is the fact that anyone can vote in a general election and you don't know what the exact numbers would be in a primary vs. the general election. However, you can get an idea of what the primary would have been by voter trends and making an educated guess. There is absolutely no way that Bradley would have walked out of the primary as the winner and the numbers are very clear of that. Bradley only beat Sennett in Kingston (his hometown) by a few hundred votes. In comparison Sennett trampled Bradley in New Paltz by about 5-1. The problem was that for Sennett there was no guarantee that Bradley would have dropped out if he lost the primary. Sennett would have entered the general election with a lot less money and in the exact same situation. But, what do I know.