Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Ulster County 2011 Predictions
From the magic Crystal ball that has all the secrets in Ulster Politics, here is what 2011 will bring......
Kingston Mayor Jim Sottile will not run for reelection or finish his full term in office.
Kingston will see primaries on both the Democratic and Republican sides for the office of mayor.
The winner of the Kingston Mayor's race will be a Kingston native and established politico, although considered some what of an underdog in the primary, his huge primary win gives him great momentum and an easy win in November..a few Aldermen may be tapped to serve in the administration, leaving some open seats and special elections in key areas of Kingston.
Kingston's Ward 6 will continue to have solid representation and the Ball will start moving forward bringing Kingston on the right track, another former candidate will make some noise about running but HE will quickly and swiftly be shut down
The common council will remain solidly Democratic..two former Aldermen will make a run for the council again...one will be successful, one will not.
Kingston will elect it's first female Alderman at Large; in fact the election in 2011 will guarantee that a female holds the post
A bright charismatic former prosecutor and Kingston trial lawyer will be elected Ulster County District Attorney. The new Democratic D.A. will quickly transform the Ulster D.A.'s office in similar ways Spitzer transformed the NYS AG's office and will eventually go on to hold statewide office.
A Democrat will run on the Republican, Conservative and Independence lines for County Executive; Mike Hein fighting on the Democratic and working families lines will be reelected by an Andrew Cuomo type margin.
Incumbent legislators that will not be returning to the county legislature after 2011 : T.J. Briggs, Donald Gregorius, Richard Parete, Mike Sweeney, Robert Aeillo, Fred Wadnola, Jim Maloney, Jeanettee Provanzano, Al Lomita, Jack Hayes, Frank Fellicello, Sue Zimet, David Donaldson, Marybeth Maio
(note only two of these incumbents will lose their reelection bids, the rest may chose to retire with the redistricting, others (3) may run for higher offices.)
Two ulster co. legislators will be investigated and their reputations "trashed" for unethical relationships with a county agency
A high ranking county political appointment will be "encouraged" to take early retirement rather than face termination
Bright, New, Democratic candidates will emerge to take on old war horses like Bob Senor
With the Democratic ranks swelling, and the Republicans shrinking, Julian Schrieman will be challenged from within the party to act more like the Majority Chairman and less like a casual observer
A new local, middle of the road political party will be talked about to take advantage of the huge number of non enrolled voters
Reapportionment will be the battle of the year in the County Legislature. The Republicans will not accept fair districts and force court action....again.
In the end it does not matter, Mike Hein's coattails and a Cahill returning to the legislature (and we don't mean Kevin, Mr. Malloney) bring Democrats back to the majority party, although it will be close.
There you have 2011 at a glance and remember where you heard it first!
Feel free to put your own predictions in the comment section.
Posted by Jeremy Blaber at 12:00 AM