Wednesday, January 30, 2008

The Flordia Primary


A huge win tonight on the Democratic side for Senator Clinton who stomped her nearest rival Barack Obama by about 20 percentage points. The Obama people are quick to point out that there is no delegates attached to Clinton's victory. Earlier this year the DNC punished the State for moving up it's primary by taking away Florida's delegates.


However, the reason Clinton's victory is significant, it shows that Hillary is the most electable candidate and has the strongest base of support. Over 800,000 people came out and made their voices heard by voting for Senator Clinton through grassroots campaigning. Senator Clinton took in more votes than any Republican candidate, even though the GOP candidates spent months of campaigning in Florida. Make no mistake about it, Hillary Clinton will not only be the Democratic nominee but the next President of the United States.


On the Republican side John McCain pulled out a close win against Governor Mitt Romney wining with about 36% of the vote. This makes Senator McCain the clear front runner to be his party's nominee in November. There still is a small chance that Romney can pull out some States from Conservative voters that hate the idea of a McCain presidency. With ultra Conservative candidate Mike Hucabee vowing tonight to stay in this race, Romney's chances are very slim.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

However, if you look at the exit polls, those voters who made up their mind within the last week or so split evenly between Clinton and Obama. Hillary was leading in Florida by nearly 30 points at different times in the race. This shows a trend toward Obama. Hillary is in trouble.

Anonymous said...

The exit polls are showing a consistently low number of whites voting for Obama. Between his lying about Rezko and his use of inflammatory Malcolm X rhetoric, the increase in black turnout isn't going to repair the damage done to whites,women,and hispanics. He is however,increasing turnout,which is great. Nobody thinks Hillary is in trouble from Obama. McCain is now the biggest worry. He's the strongest against Hillary and the conservatives need to be shut down. I wonder how long it will take before we see Romney turn really nasty? I hear there are some Vietnamese propaganda clips in store for the Manchurian candidate.

Anonymous said...

The fact that Hillary showed up for a non-event where all candidates vowed not to campaign says it all. Yes, she came after the polls closed, but by announcing that she was coming she encouraged turnout. The Clintons continue to show an inability to be straight-shooters. Also,a million voters, cast their ballots early, before the South Carolina primary.

Oh, by the way, Edwards dropped out...hmm.

Anonymous said...

When Senator Clinton was campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire, she said that states like Michigan and Florida that won’t award delegates, ‘don’t count for anything.’ Now that Senator Clinton has lost badly in South Carolina, she’s trying to assign meaning to a contest that awards zero delegates and where no campaigning has occurred. Senator Clinton’s own campaign has repeatedly said that this is a ‘contest for delegates’, and tonight, Florida awarded zero. Senator Obama is disappointed that Florida will have no role in selecting delegates for the Democratic nominee, but looks forward to competing and winning in Florida during the general election.

Obama spokesperson Bill Burton

Jeanette Provenzano said...

I watched the endorsement of Sen. Ted Kennedy for Sen. Obama for President. Sen. Kennedy did not speak of Obama's platform to CHANGE Washington politics??? he used this precious time to redicule Sen. Clinton and her Husband former President of the United States Bill Clinton. Ted Kennedy hit below the belt and carried on like a kid in school wanting revenge because of hurtful comments, rightfuly so or not. This endorsement was not helpful to Obama. This endorsement woke up Hillery supporters and they will double their efforts in working for Clinton for President.

Anonymous said...

It's getting tighter and tighter:

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama has now cut the gap with Hillary Clinton to 6 percentage points among Democrats nationally in the Gallup Poll Daily tracking three-day average, and interviewing conducted Tuesday night shows the gap between the two candidates is within a few points. Obama's position has been strengthening on a day-by-day basis. As recently as Jan. 18-20, Clinton led Obama by 20 points. Today's Gallup Poll Daily tracking is based on interviews conducted Jan. 27-29, all after Obama's overwhelming victory in South Carolina on Saturday. Two out of the three nights interviewing were conducted after the high-visibility endorsement of Obama by Sen. Edward Kennedy and his niece Caroline Kennedy.

Anonymous said...

The polls are getting too close now to be reliable. There's one out yesterday showing McCain 48 over both Clinton and Obama at 40. We all know that one is wacky. Remember that wild fluctuation in NH. I think the exit polling percentages are the best estimates to go on. That gallup one was dismissed as too far above others to be accurate. A few days ago Gallup had Hill at 56% over Obama at 28% in NYS. In California they had a ballot initiative poll that was supposed to be more accurate with a split of 11%. It's all in the air now. I wouldn't put money on any of them.